Sat July 6, 2013
Overpopulation or Underpopulation? Monday's Access Utah
For years, we have been warned about the looming danger of overpopulation: people jostling for space on a planet that’s busting at the seams and running out of oil and food and land and everything else. In his new book “What to Expect When No One’s Expecting” Weekly Standard senior writer Jonathan Last says it’s all bunk. The “population bomb” never exploded. Instead, he says, statistics from around the world make clear that since the 1970s, we’ve been facing exactly the opposite problem: people are having too few babies.
Population growth has been slowing for two generations. The world’s population will peak, and then begin shrinking, within the next fifty years.
In some countries, it’s already started. Japan, for instance, will be half its current size by the end of the century. In Italy, there are already more deaths than births every year. China’s One-Child Policy has left that country without enough women to marry its men, not enough young people to support the country’s elderly, and an impending population contraction that has the ruling class terrified. Jonathan Last says that all of this is coming to America, too. In fact, it’s already here. Middle-class Americans have their own, informal one-child policy these days. And an alarming (to Mr. Last) number of upscale professionals don’t even go that far—they have dogs, not kids. In fact, if it weren’t for the wave of immigration we experienced over the last thirty years, the United States would be on the verge of shrinking, too. Jonathan Last says that if America wants to continue to lead the world, we need to have more babies. You’ll have the chance to agree or disagree with Jonathan Last by calling 1-800-826-1495 on Monday between 9:00 and 10:00 a.m. or by commenting on our Utah Public Radio Facebook page or by email.